Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (102-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 42 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 40 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 39 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 32 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Buford | 9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Darius Songaila | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 46 | 8-21 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 45 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 7-12 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 41 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 30 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter