Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (97-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 42 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 38 | 11-19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 25 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Haislip * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 14 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyronn Lue * | 41 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 37 | 11-27 | 5-15 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 21 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Desmond Penigar * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sean Rooks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter