Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (86-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Carter * | 41 | 10-24 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 38 | 9-16 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 20 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jerome Moiso * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 45 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 40 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 9-13 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 36 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter