Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (24.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +24 (115-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 25 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -3 | - |
| Charlie Ward * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 34 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 29 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tony Delk | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter