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2004-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 โœ— (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 43.9% 56.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—

Actual: New York Knicks -6 (86-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 44 7-20 0-0 8-12 5 3 1 0 1 22 10 -
Jeff McInnis * 42 5-12 3-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 13 7 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 42 14-22 0-0 3-4 15 1 0 2 2 31 25 -
Carlos Boozer * 36 4-11 0-0 6-6 17 0 0 0 2 14 18 -
Eric Williams * 29 0-8 0-3 5-6 4 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
Ira Newble * 20 0-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Tony Battie * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 2 -
Kevin Ollie 6 0-1 0-0 3-5 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Dajuan Wagner 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephon Marbury * 43 13-34 2-5 2-2 5 6 0 0 1 30 6 -
Tim Thomas * 36 4-10 0-2 2-4 6 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
Kurt Thomas * 36 7-12 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 1 1 16 16 -
Shandon Anderson * 35 5-10 0-1 0-0 5 4 2 0 4 10 7 -
Dikembe Mutombo * 30 3-8 0-0 1-4 11 0 0 3 0 7 13 -
Anfernee Hardaway * 28 2-13 0-3 2-2 4 1 2 0 0 6 0 -
Othella Harrington * 15 2-6 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Nazr Mohammed * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
Frank Williams 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter