Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +16 (97-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 36 | 3-20 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 31 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 17 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Rodney White * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 38 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 13-24 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 24 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| John Wallace | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter