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2004-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 โœ— (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - โœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -1 (93-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derek Anderson * 43 4-13 1-6 7-8 1 3 1 1 0 16 9 -
Damon Stoudamire * 39 5-12 3-5 2-3 9 7 1 0 1 15 19 -
Shareef Abdur-Rahim * 31 5-10 1-1 1-1 9 3 0 1 3 12 12 -
Zach Randolph * 30 8-16 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 3 2 19 10 -
Theo Ratliff * 30 2-6 0-0 4-5 11 0 1 3 2 8 15 -
Darius Miles * 25 6-11 0-0 2-2 6 4 1 0 1 14 13 -
Ruben Patterson * 24 2-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 0 6 7 -
Omar Cook * 9 1-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Dale Davis * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Dan Dickau 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Speedy Claxton * 41 5-11 0-0 8-9 6 4 0 0 2 18 15 -
Jason Richardson * 38 9-23 1-5 3-3 6 2 1 0 1 22 7 -
Clifford Robinson * 33 4-11 2-3 1-2 1 6 1 0 1 11 7 -
Erick Dampier * 33 3-4 0-0 1-3 9 1 0 4 0 7 17 -
Nick Van Exel * 29 8-13 4-6 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 20 7 -
Calbert Cheaney * 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 2 4 8 -
Brian Cardinal * 25 3-13 1-5 4-4 10 1 0 0 1 11 8 -
Adonal Foyle * 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 0 6 -

* = starter