๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2004-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.4 โœ“ (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +28 (116-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allen Iverson * 38 3-18 0-2 7-10 2 9 3 1 6 13 4 -
Kenny Thomas * 38 9-13 0-0 4-4 12 1 3 1 1 22 25 -
Glenn Robinson * 35 6-13 1-2 6-8 6 0 2 1 2 19 13 -
Samuel Dalembert * 25 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 3 2 6 11 -
Eric Snow * 24 4-5 0-0 3-4 3 4 0 0 2 11 11 -
Greg Buckner * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Willie Green * 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -
Aaron McKie * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 0 -
Zendon Hamilton * 11 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
John Salmons 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Amal McCaskill 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kyle Korver 7 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaquille O'Neal * 32 12-18 0-0 5-14 13 3 1 1 3 29 26 -
Kobe Bryant * 30 10-18 1-2 7-8 5 7 3 2 2 28 25 -
Gary Payton * 28 5-10 1-1 2-3 5 6 1 0 2 13 13 -
Devean George * 27 2-9 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 5 3 -
Rick Fox * 22 4-6 0-1 3-4 3 2 2 0 3 11 9 -
Derek Fisher * 20 1-6 0-1 2-2 4 7 1 0 0 4 10 -
Luke Walton * 17 2-5 0-1 1-1 2 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
Bryon Russell * 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
Slava Medvedenko * 14 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
Brian Cook * 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Horace Grant * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Kareem Rush 17 6-9 0-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 13 6 -

* = starter