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2004-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 79.6% 20.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 73.8% 26.2% - โœ—
Margin 62.9% 37.1% -2.9 โœ— (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—

Actual: Orlando Magic +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrei Kirilenko * 40 5-18 1-6 1-2 7 2 1 1 2 12 3 -
Michael Ruffin * 39 3-9 0-0 0-0 12 3 0 1 1 6 12 -
Carlos Arroyo * 24 5-10 0-1 4-8 3 1 0 0 1 14 7 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 24 4-8 1-1 2-4 5 2 0 0 2 11 8 -
Raja Bell * 24 4-11 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 10 6 -
Raul Lopez * 24 6-11 0-2 0-0 4 6 4 0 1 12 14 -
Greg Ostertag * 23 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 7 6 -
Jarron Collins * 17 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 -1 -
Mo Williams 12 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tracy McGrady * 44 13-31 3-7 14-15 8 5 0 0 1 43 24 -
Juwan Howard * 36 7-11 0-0 6-6 9 2 0 0 0 20 20 -
Gordan Giricek * 34 6-9 2-4 1-2 1 2 2 0 1 15 10 -
Tyronn Lue * 32 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 0 5 -
Steven Hunter * 30 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 5 1 6 15 -
Zaza Pachulia * 17 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 1 1 2 3 -
Keith Bogans * 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Rod Strickland * 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 2 2 -
Drew Gooden * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 0 0 -
Shammond Williams 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter