Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✗ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -15 (83-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 41 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Devean George * | 36 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 27 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 43 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 25 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
* = starter