Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +23 (115-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 38 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 36 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 35 | 10-21 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 17 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rodney White | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Christie * | 43 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 43 | 11-21 | 7-11 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 20 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 42 | 10-18 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jabari Smith | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter