Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (97-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 45 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 10-12 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 33 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| John Wallace * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 44 | 4-20 | 0-1 | 12-13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 36 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 27 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
* = starter