Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (96-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Camby * | 40 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 35 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 32 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rodney White * | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 45 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 41 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 13-13 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 38 | 4-15 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 34 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter