Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +20 (105-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Thomas * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 34 | 5-18 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Santiago * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 38 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 9 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Shane Battier | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter