Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -2 (101-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzen Wright * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| James Posey * | 30 | 10-13 | 5-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 12 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes * | 40 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 11-11 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 29 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 36 | 3-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter