Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -5 (102-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 39 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 34 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rodney White * | 21 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 8-23 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 42 | 16-25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 19 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Travis Best * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter