Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | -1.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +3 (91-88). Ratings: 2003-04 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 43 | 10-18 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Travis Best * | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 41 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Raul Lopez * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter