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2004-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 2.9% 97.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 13.8% 86.2% - โœ—
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.6 โœ— (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 31.5% 68.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 12.1% 87.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 22.3% 77.7% - โœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (82-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Terry * 43 8-13 3-6 3-4 4 9 4 1 1 22 26 -
Theo Ratliff * 36 2-4 0-0 4-4 13 1 0 5 4 8 19 -
Stephen Jackson * 35 8-17 2-6 3-3 4 3 2 1 2 21 12 -
Shareef Abdur-Rahim * 35 6-17 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 14 -2 -
Boris Diaw * 28 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 6 7 -
Jacque Vaughn * 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 4 3 -
Chris Crawford * 16 3-8 1-3 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 9 4 -
Nazr Mohammed * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Dan Dickau * 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 5 6 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Wallace * 42 6-13 0-0 2-4 15 5 4 5 1 14 29 -
Chauncey Billups * 38 1-9 0-4 8-8 4 4 1 0 2 10 8 -
Tayshaun Prince * 34 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 2 2 3 4 7 -
Richard Hamilton * 34 4-10 0-0 3-4 3 2 0 0 4 11 2 -
Corliss Williamson * 26 9-12 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 20 13 -
Chucky Atkins * 20 2-8 1-7 2-3 0 2 0 0 3 7 -2 -
Bob Sura * 18 3-5 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 1 0 7 9 -
Mehmet Okur * 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 2 -2 -
Darvin Ham * 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Elden Campbell 7 3-5 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -

* = starter