Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peja Stojakovic * | 45 | 9-23 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 42 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 40 | 9-21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 28 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 42 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 33 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Travis Best * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter