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2004-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +19 (110-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ricky Davis * 33 9-19 1-3 7-7 3 2 5 0 2 26 15 -
Paul Pierce * 33 3-15 0-7 7-8 2 5 2 0 7 13 0 -
Walter McCarty * 33 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 7 6 -
Mike James * 27 3-8 2-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 8 7 -
Mark Blount * 26 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
Jiri Welsch * 24 1-6 0-1 4-6 5 3 3 0 1 6 10 -
Marcus Banks * 23 2-9 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 1 1 6 -1 -
Chris Mihm * 18 4-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 9 6 -
Brandon Hunter 19 3-9 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 0 1 7 7 -
Kendrick Perkins 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Kidd * 37 2-12 1-4 5-7 9 11 1 0 7 10 12 -
Kenyon Martin * 35 9-12 0-0 2-6 15 2 1 0 3 20 23 -
Kerry Kittles * 35 5-11 2-4 0-0 6 3 0 1 2 12 9 -
Richard Jefferson * 32 9-14 1-1 6-6 7 2 2 1 4 25 19 -
Jason Collins * 28 2-5 0-0 8-10 8 2 1 2 3 12 17 -
Rodney Rogers * 24 4-9 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 4 9 2 -
Lucious Harris * 21 4-7 1-1 5-5 6 3 1 0 0 14 17 -
Aaron Williams * 18 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 2 1 4 4 4 -
Brian Scalabrine 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Zoran Planinic 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Brandon Armstrong 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Robert Pack 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter