Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Knicks -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 44 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 42 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 9-17 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 40 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Wallace * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Marbury * | 41 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 32 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Allan Houston * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Frank Williams * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter