Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +14 (109-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peja Stojakovic * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 25 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 23 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jabari Smith | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 35 | 11-16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shane Battier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter