Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +19 (106-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slava Medvedenko * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Devean George * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 22 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brian Cook * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 42 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 3-7 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 35 | 11-18 | 4-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 27 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Travis Best * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mamadou N'diaye | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter