Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (84-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter McCarty * | 46 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 41 | 12-24 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 39 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mike James * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 27 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Michael Stewart | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 44 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 41 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 6-16 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 4-17 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - |
| John Wallace * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bimbo Coles | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter