Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 43 | 9-21 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 35 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 35 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bimbo Coles | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 42 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 42 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 41 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 41 | 12-17 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Rodney White * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mark Pope | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter