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2004-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.5% 35.5% - โœ“
Margin 59.1% 40.9% -2.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.6% 29.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -5 (94-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Wallace * 40 5-11 0-0 3-5 11 4 4 3 1 13 23 -
Richard Hamilton * 38 10-19 0-1 2-2 4 5 1 1 3 22 11 -
Chauncey Billups * 37 7-14 1-2 11-11 4 6 1 0 1 26 22 -
Tayshaun Prince * 33 3-9 0-1 0-0 7 4 2 1 1 6 10 -
Mehmet Okur * 24 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 5 8 8 -
Corliss Williamson * 23 5-8 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
Chucky Atkins * 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Elden Campbell * 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
Darvin Ham * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Bob Sura * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Zeljko Rebraca 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Redd * 38 12-24 2-7 4-4 4 1 1 0 0 30 12 -
Tim Thomas * 37 9-18 4-5 0-1 5 1 2 0 1 22 11 -
Brian Skinner * 34 2-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 4 1 4 9 -
Joe Smith * 31 3-7 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 2 1 7 6 -
Damon Jones * 26 3-10 1-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 7 2 -
Desmond Mason * 26 4-6 1-1 2-4 4 3 0 0 1 11 11 -
T.J. Ford * 21 4-5 1-1 1-1 0 5 1 0 5 10 6 -
Toni Kukoc * 13 0-5 0-5 1-2 1 1 3 0 0 1 1 -
Daniel Santiago * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 2 6 -

* = starter