Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -3 (88-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Travis Best * | 36 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 40 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 39 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 38 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 5-18 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Rodney White * | 19 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 18 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter