Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +21 (98-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwame Brown * | 38 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 17 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Mitchell Butler * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Torraye Braggs * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 31 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 20 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Zeljko Rebraca * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Darvin Ham * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darko Milicic | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter