Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +4 (90-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 44 | 5-16 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 43 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 42 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 36 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Miller * | 45 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 42 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 37 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 36 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter