Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Charlie Ward * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malik Rose | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 46 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 43 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter