Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -2 (113-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Williams * | 45 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 39 | 10-18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| James Posey * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 22 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Dampier * | 46 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 36 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 44 | 10-23 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 40 | 9-25 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 0 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter