Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (89-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Boozer * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 6-20 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 30 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner * | 20 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 42 | 5-22 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | -6 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Devean George * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko * | 29 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Brian Cook * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jamal Sampson * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter