Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (105-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 43 | 11-26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 43 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 41 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 32 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Speedy Claxton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 48 | 10-22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 47 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 19 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
* = starter