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2004-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Margin 16.7% 83.3% +8.9 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +22 (94-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gilbert Arenas * 32 6-19 2-3 3-6 6 1 3 0 2 17 6 -
Steve Blake * 25 2-8 0-4 1-2 0 2 1 1 0 5 1 -
Jared Jeffries * 25 2-4 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 4 8 -
Kwame Brown * 23 1-7 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Larry Hughes * 23 3-6 0-1 3-3 2 1 1 0 2 9 5 -
Etan Thomas * 23 3-10 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 0 2 8 3 -
Christian Laettner * 22 1-8 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Brendan Haywood * 21 2-5 0-0 2-6 7 2 2 0 3 6 9 -
Jarvis Hayes * 21 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
Juan Dixon * 19 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
Mitchell Butler 6 1-2 0-0 2-4 0 0 1 0 0 4 3 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Duncan * 37 8-17 0-0 0-0 11 6 2 3 2 16 19 -
Tony Parker * 27 7-11 0-2 2-2 6 6 0 0 0 16 17 -
Rasho Nesterovic * 26 3-6 0-0 1-1 2 2 0 5 3 7 7 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 25 4-6 1-1 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 10 12 -
Ron Mercer * 23 7-12 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 14 3 -
Bruce Bowen * 23 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 4 -
Jason Hart * 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 1 4 11 -
Devin Brown * 19 5-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 3 10 9 -
Malik Rose * 17 2-3 0-0 7-8 4 2 0 0 1 11 13 -
Robert Horry * 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 1 -
Alex Garcia 6 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Kevin Willis 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -

* = starter