Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✗ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -22 (65-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 41 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 31 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jamison Brewer * | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| James Jones | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 41 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Bimbo Coles | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter