๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2004-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.7 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +6 (99-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Van Exel * 41 7-18 0-6 4-4 1 10 1 0 6 18 6 -
Erick Dampier * 40 5-9 0-0 4-9 12 0 2 3 1 14 21 -
Jason Richardson * 40 9-21 3-7 3-4 4 6 4 0 0 24 17 -
Clifford Robinson * 33 4-8 1-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
Mike Dunleavy * 30 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 7 10 -
Brian Cardinal * 20 4-7 2-3 5-5 6 1 2 0 1 15 16 -
Speedy Claxton * 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Troy Murphy * 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 3 5 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 43 9-17 2-4 0-0 9 4 3 2 2 20 19 -
Richard Hamilton * 43 7-16 0-0 4-4 2 2 1 0 6 18 1 -
Ben Wallace * 41 5-8 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 1 0 10 15 -
Mehmet Okur * 40 7-15 1-3 3-3 8 4 1 2 1 18 17 -
Chauncey Billups * 36 4-10 1-1 6-8 4 10 0 1 1 15 19 -
Chucky Atkins * 17 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 8 11 -
Elden Campbell * 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 5 4 -
Darvin Ham * 8 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 1 0 5 3 -

* = starter