Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (109-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 42 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 5-13 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 36 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Travis Best * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Redd * | 38 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 32 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 20 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 17 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
* = starter