Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (112-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 47 | 5-18 | 4-12 | 8-12 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 40 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 37 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 35 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 41 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 10-21 | 4-9 | 9-9 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 27 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 32 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 18 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Loren Woods | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter