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2003-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% - โœ“
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings +9 (98-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrei Kirilenko * 40 8-20 2-6 3-8 11 4 4 4 5 21 19 -
Matt Harpring * 39 3-16 0-2 0-0 11 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
Carlos Arroyo * 34 5-12 0-1 5-8 3 5 1 0 6 15 6 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 30 5-11 0-1 2-4 3 1 2 1 2 12 6 -
Greg Ostertag * 29 4-6 0-0 1-2 9 3 1 3 1 9 18 -
Raja Bell * 25 4-9 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 10 6 -
Jarron Collins * 19 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Raul Lopez * 13 2-5 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 6 2 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 10 3-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
Mo Williams 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Peja Stojakovic * 45 10-22 4-10 13-14 7 1 6 0 2 37 27 -
Doug Christie * 37 2-7 0-1 5-6 9 1 0 0 4 9 8 -
Mike Bibby * 34 6-13 1-3 10-11 1 5 1 0 4 23 13 -
Vlade Divac * 34 3-8 0-0 1-4 6 8 0 1 4 7 10 -
Brad Miller * 29 2-5 0-0 4-4 6 3 1 1 3 8 11 -
Bobby Jackson * 24 3-9 2-3 0-0 3 1 4 0 1 8 6 -
Darius Songaila * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
Anthony Peeler * 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
Tony Massenburg * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter