Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -8 (84-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 34 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes * | 41 | 6-21 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 38 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mitchell Butler * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Juan Dixon | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter