Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +9 (97-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 44 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 42 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff McInnis * | 41 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 40 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 40 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 37 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Qyntel Woods * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 15 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kaniel Dickens * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter