Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 33 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 44 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 25 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter