Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (104-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Dampier * | 37 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 28 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 10-16 | 3-3 | 10-12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 29 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 9-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 29 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| John Wallace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter