Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -10 (91-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 10-23 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 35 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 23 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Malik Rose | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Devin Brown | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 41 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 39 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 38 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 34 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Qyntel Woods * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kaniel Dickens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter