Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +5 (114-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 36 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrell Sprewell * | 42 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 41 | 13-26 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 31 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 8-11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 37 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keith McLeod * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Oliver Miller * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ervin Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter