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2003-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 1.5% 98.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Margin 4.9% 95.1% +16.3 โœ“ (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.7% 92.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Crawford * 40 7-23 2-13 6-7 3 4 5 0 1 22 10 -
Antonio Davis * 38 3-9 0-0 4-4 14 3 0 1 3 10 16 -
Kirk Hinrich * 37 2-9 1-5 1-2 4 4 1 0 1 6 5 -
Jerome Williams * 33 3-10 0-0 1-2 9 1 4 0 2 7 9 -
Kendall Gill * 32 4-14 0-1 4-4 8 1 1 1 1 12 8 -
Rick Brunson * 28 5-9 2-3 0-0 4 5 2 0 2 12 12 -
Marcus Fizer * 17 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Chris Jefferies * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Linton Johnson * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Wallace * 46 3-9 0-0 1-2 15 2 2 8 2 7 23 -
Richard Hamilton * 40 8-13 0-0 4-4 4 5 1 0 1 20 16 -
Tayshaun Prince * 40 5-13 0-1 1-1 7 5 1 2 4 11 9 -
Chauncey Billups * 35 6-11 0-1 2-5 4 2 2 0 4 14 7 -
Mehmet Okur * 29 3-9 0-1 3-4 7 1 1 0 4 9 5 -
Chucky Atkins * 19 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 4 5 -
Corliss Williamson * 18 5-7 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 12 4 -
Bob Sura * 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Zeljko Rebraca 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tremaine Fowlkes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter