Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (90-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 45 | 8-19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 31 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 42 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 7-18 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 33 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 27 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 16 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
* = starter