Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +18 (97-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacque Vaughn * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 34 | 5-18 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Travis Hansen * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lee Nailon | 9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Chris Crawford | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 15-22 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 2-15 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Malik Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter