Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| James Posey * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shane Battier | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 23 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Devin Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter