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2003-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 88.8% 11.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 85.2% 14.8% - โœ—
Margin 81.1% 18.9% -8.0 โœ— (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 84.2% 15.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 84.4% 15.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 68.7% 31.3% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Bulls +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Metta World Peace * 39 10-18 0-1 3-4 8 5 2 3 7 23 16 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 34 8-18 0-0 3-6 4 0 1 4 0 19 10 -
Reggie Miller * 29 3-9 0-3 0-0 2 3 4 0 0 6 6 -
Anthony Johnson * 25 3-9 0-2 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 6 4 -
Jeff Foster * 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 4 -
Fred Jones * 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 2 5 -
Kenny Anderson * 20 3-7 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 2 -
Al Harrington * 19 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
Austin Croshere * 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Jamison Brewer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Primoz Brezec 2 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerome Williams * 43 4-9 0-0 2-2 15 4 3 0 2 10 21 -
Jamal Crawford * 40 7-17 3-7 1-2 5 7 3 0 2 18 14 -
Marcus Fizer * 37 5-17 0-0 5-6 15 2 0 0 1 15 14 -
Kirk Hinrich * 36 6-11 2-3 4-7 1 4 1 0 4 18 9 -
Antonio Davis * 34 5-12 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 1 10 10 -
Kendall Gill * 19 3-10 0-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 8 1 -
Linton Johnson * 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
Eddy Curry * 10 2-5 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Chris Jefferies 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter